Gov. Phil Scott and Health Commissioner Mark Levine say data and science drive their policies to ban multi-household gatherings. But leading epidemiologists like Julia Marcus of Harvard University say it does no such thing. Even the Vermont Health Dept. data says social gatherings account for only about 20% of outbreak-related cases, not the oft-cited 71%.
"But many epidemiologists are far less certain, saying there is little evidence to suggest that household gatherings were the source of the majority of infections since the summer. Indeed, it has become much harder to pinpoint any source of any outbreak, now that the virus is so widespread and Americans may be exposed in so many ways. “Somebody says something, and somebody else says it, and then it just becomes truth,” said Julia Marcus, an infectious disease epidemiologist at Harvard University. “I worry about this narrative that doesn’t yet seem to be data-based.”"
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